
Football
Share
Published 13:22 9 Oct 2015 BST
Explore more on these topics:
Only eight games are considered for this race - they remove the results against the bottom seeds of each group (Gibraltar in our case).
If Ireland beat Poland, they could take over Hungary but, if Ireland beat Poland, they would finish second anyway.
Hungary being in that automatic position is bad news though because they were the closest to us in the UEFA rankings - we would presumably take over them once they're updated. And, although Ukraine have a game in hand to win that place back, Ukraine's last considered game is against Spain.
RIGHT NOW, we'd be seeded for the play-offs
Seeding is decided based on UEFA's national team coefficient rankings. And, if you're in the top four highest rank teams (outside of the automatic qualifier), you are seeded for a play-off game.
Those teams could change though
Both Holland and Bosnia have kinder fixtures (just about) than Turkey and Israel respectively as they chase third place in their own groups. But they're two points adrift with two games left. They are both ranked higher than Ireland (at the moment) though so if they were to finish third, they would come in as a seeded team and subsequently bump Ireland down.
The biggest concern is that Albania - the lowest ranked team of them all - will not finish third. They have one game left (a game in hand) against the worst team in their group, Armenia. And they are just one point behind Denmark who have no games left.
If Albania win (a draw won't be enough), they will move to second and bump Denmark to third.
Denmark would then come in as a higher ranked team than Ireland (initially) and so move Ireland down to the non-seeded batch.
Ireland would initially be outside of the seeded positions (until the rankings change)
The rankings should change though
The last time the UEFA coefficient was updated was back in June 15 after Ireland had drawn with Scotland. Since then, a lot has changed and you'd fancy that both Denmark's rankings will decrease whilst Ireland's will increase and Martin O'Neill's men should take over them as a result.
Since the last rankings:
The biggest issue would be if Holland (ranked 4th) came in ahead of Turkey. We'd then have to catch Sweden (ranked 14th) from our 23rd spot. It depends how high we climb when the UEFA rankings are updated.
So just keep an eye out for Holland.
But, hey, screw it. We beat Germany. Let's just beat Poland too.Ireland warned of huge punishment for wider sport if Israel game had been boycotted
The Minister of state for Sport outlined that if Ireland hadn’t fulfilled their Nations League fixture vs Israel, there would be wider sport ramifications. Earlier on Friday, the FAI confirmed the fixture will take place. However, the controversial match will be played behind closed doors. While still being listed as a ‘home game’ for Ireland, […]
Football
1 day ago
FAI announce official decision for Ireland v Israel venue
BREAKING The FAI have confirmed that Ireland’s home fixture v Israel in the Nations League will be moved to a neutral venue according to RTE. Originally, the match was scheduled to take place on the 4th of October, in the Aviva Stadium. After a meeting on Thursday, the decision has been made to move the […]
Football
1 day ago
Football
Ranking the jerseys for all 48 World Cup teams
Football